over under nba system betting

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Over under nba system betting towcester greyhound betting explained

Over under nba system betting

Sticking with the rest theme, look to play against a team on their fourth game in five days. Some teams get hit with this more often than others on their schedule and those are the teams that you should target, especially later in the season. The logic here is pretty simple. You have a team who just got beaten badly who is still considered good enough to be favored on the road.

Not only are these typically going to be good teams they are going to be motivated after getting blown out. Home dogs of over ten points in the NBA have traditionally been a very good bet. By following these strategies based on the numbers, bettors can gain an edge on the sportsbooks.

Being a contrarian bettor often means going against the grain and betting that recent trends will not continue. Gamblers will remember this trend and likely wager on the over the next time it plays at home. Thus, contrarian gamblers can find an edge by betting the under on these inflated odds. There is more value following this strategy if both teams playing are on short rest tired legs and the line is trending down indication of smart money on the under.

In the NBA, as in other sports, when there is lopsided betting action and a big line movement it is often caused by a piece of information such as an injury update. Last fall, for example, prior to a matchup between the Thunder and Rockets, Russell Westbrook ankle was ruled out.

The Thunder opened as three-point underdogs at home but with Westbrook out the line shifted to Rockets Sometimes the best systems are the simplest. It has been profitable in the NBA to wager against lopsided betting action and big line movement like we saw in Thunder-Rockets. Bettors following this system have returned a profit of Reverse line movement — when the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages — is an indication of professional money being wagered.

It has been profitable to follow reverse line movement in the NBA. Following the reverse line movement is most profitable in games featuring divisional opponents, as they tend to be more competitive because of the increased familiarity. Since , NBA bettors following this system have won

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These games had an average combined score of Both of the above examples were winners that I tweeted out. A few additional guidelines: Be strict about the point discrepancy! Always consider the opponent. To use the Bounce Back System, you will need to have a spot where a team is playing at home after a bad offensive performance in their last game.

The best teams to use with this system are those with winning records that had a field goal percentage and point total that fell far below what is typical. With the expected rebound in offensive output from the home team, this yields an increased chance of the game total going over, depending on the offered number. When an NBA team wins by 15 points or more, a common misperception might be that they have momentum on their side and should be able to win their next game by a double-digit margin as well.

In actuality, the opposite is more often the case. This data would suggest that it is highly unlikely for a team to put together back-to-back blowout performances. The source of the trend that gives the Blowout System its existence could be any number of things.

Player fatigue, overconfidence, or an overreaction by the betting market to the previous game are all possibilities. Whatever the reason, look to fade double-digit favorites coming off a blowout win their last time out. The subject of back-to-back games has garnered attention around the NBA community in recent years, with the league working to cut down on the number of times teams are faced with this scenario on the schedule.

The general trend for teams playing on a back-to-back is that they struggle with fatigue in the second game. While this naturally leads to performance dips, it is interesting to note that different teams struggle at different rates when playing in this scenario.

A study by numberFire examined the results of teams playing on a back-to-back that were either above or below the. The other factor to consider in these spots is the location of the game. As the data would suggest, the Back-to-Back System will be most reliable for betting purposes when the second game comes on the road.

Combined with other research on the specific game and teams in question, the system is one of the easiest to implement. In these scenarios, research has found that scoring is at a premium. The probable reasoning behind the 3 in 4 System is that playing defense at a high level of intensity requires more physical work than offense.

When tired, most players will opt to play less defense and save their energy for scoring. When a 3 in 4 situation arises on the schedule, the over on the game total is the advised play. Given the nature of the sport of basketball, the NBA is by far the highest-scoring of any major professional sports league. More points lead to more variance both in the real games and in the betting lines offered by sportsbooks.

The Tunnel System is predicated on taking advantage of varying totals lines between books. Refer to the hypothetical example in the image below before reading about how to implement the Tunnel System. To deploy a Tunnel System betting strategy on the example game outlined above, you would take the over on the total line of and then also bet the under on the total of If the game total winds up landing between the two lines of and , i.

But even if the game total lands outside of the tunnel, you will still have cashed one of your two tickets. With that said, profitability using this system is very possible considering that a total landing between two lines created and approved by oddsmakers is the most likely outcome.

NBA betting systems are a terrific supplement to your betting strategy. The various systems discussed in this article cover a wide range of scenarios and focal points that have the potential to yield an NBA betting edge. It is important to remember that these systems should not be considered the be-all, end-all when it comes to your NBA handicapping strategy.

Incorporating power ratings, conducting thorough team and statistical research, and studying key trends are not things that can simply be replaced by a betting system.

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In the above case, if you are betting that the total score will be over Similarly, if you are betting that the total score will be If a team has scored between and points in the last 10 games, it is likely that they will fall within that same total margin the next game. This is basically the same as the the above, however unlike taking the total score at the end of the game, the market will broken down in quarters and halves.

The Warriors are playing the Rockets. Generally the odds for the solid number will be less, as there are now 2 outcomes that can favour the bettor not 1. Necessary cookies are absolutely essential for the website to function properly.

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It is mandatory to procure user consent prior to running these cookies on your website. Sign in. Log into your account. Forgot your password? Password recovery. Recover your password. Get help. The Midfield. How do they get the Over Under Total Points? Season average Total Points for each team — These become more relevant as the season goes on, but adding the total averages of two teams together can be helpful. Similarly if a defensive player is out, the total points will be higher.

There is no end to amount of research you can do to try to find different angles or systems to bet on the NBA. They are a great start to finding great winning angles throughout the NBA season. With the length of the NBA season and all of the travel involved there are bound to be some favorable matchups for teams who have had a day or two of rest playing teams who are playing in back-to-back games.

Look for games after the first quarter of the season when guys are going to start to wear down a little. Sticking with the rest theme, look to play against a team on their fourth game in five days. Some teams get hit with this more often than others on their schedule and those are the teams that you should target, especially later in the season.

LADBROKES BETTING AND GAMING LTD

By following these strategies based on the numbers, bettors can gain an edge on the sportsbooks. Being a contrarian bettor often means going against the grain and betting that recent trends will not continue. Gamblers will remember this trend and likely wager on the over the next time it plays at home. Thus, contrarian gamblers can find an edge by betting the under on these inflated odds. There is more value following this strategy if both teams playing are on short rest tired legs and the line is trending down indication of smart money on the under.

In the NBA, as in other sports, when there is lopsided betting action and a big line movement it is often caused by a piece of information such as an injury update. Last fall, for example, prior to a matchup between the Thunder and Rockets, Russell Westbrook ankle was ruled out.

The Thunder opened as three-point underdogs at home but with Westbrook out the line shifted to Rockets Sometimes the best systems are the simplest. It has been profitable in the NBA to wager against lopsided betting action and big line movement like we saw in Thunder-Rockets. Bettors following this system have returned a profit of Reverse line movement — when the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages — is an indication of professional money being wagered.

It has been profitable to follow reverse line movement in the NBA. Following the reverse line movement is most profitable in games featuring divisional opponents, as they tend to be more competitive because of the increased familiarity. Since , NBA bettors following this system have won You have a team who just got beaten badly who is still considered good enough to be favored on the road.

Not only are these typically going to be good teams they are going to be motivated after getting blown out. Home dogs of over ten points in the NBA have traditionally been a very good bet. Teams in this situation are more likely to rise to the occasion and play up to their competition. NBA Betting Systems. Play on Rested Teams vs Teams on No Rest With the length of the NBA season and all of the travel involved there are bound to be some favorable matchups for teams who have had a day or two of rest playing teams who are playing in back-to-back games.